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Cook’s 2022 NFL Gambling Picks: Week 12

NFL Week 12 kicks off with a trio of Thanksgiving Day games! Steve Cook has all of your picks for the week, click and see who will win!

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Giants vs Cowboys NFL Week 12

NFL Week 12 kicks off with a trio of Thanksgiving Day games! Steve Cook has all of your picks for the week, click and see who will win!

Hi, hello & welcome to Week 12 of the National Football League! I’m Steve Cook, and I’d like to wish a Happy Thanksgiving to all of you that have chosen to spend part of your day checking out some NFL picks on the Chairshot. It’s one of the most glorious days on the NFL calendar, with three games to watch while we eat turkey and endure our families.

We went over .500 again last week, but only by one game. The push to an overall .500 record continues, but let’s hope that next week we’re thankful for some outstanding picks. Odds are via Vegas Insider Consensus as of Wednesday morning.

Thursday, November 24

Buffalo (-9.5) at Detroit

The Bills got a chance to get accustomed to Ford Field this week, as they ended up playing their Week 11 game with Cleveland there due to their homefield being covered with several feet of snow. It’s been a good chance to see what the Bills’ offense could do in an indoor environment. (Remember when we thought Josh Allen might be seriously injured? That was funny.) I expect this to be a high-scoring game and a good way to start off Thanksgiving, which is more than we can say for most Lions games that have been featured in this timeslot since 1934.

I think the Bills will win, but I also think that spread is at a high number and the Lions can put up some points on a Bills’ defense that hasn’t quite lived up to preseason billing.

NY Giants at Dallas (-9.5)

Two teams with opposite experiences during Week 11. The Cowboys had their best showing of the season, laying waste to the Vikings in Minneapolis. Meanwhile, the Giants got humbled in East Rutherford by the Lions. You can see why the spread is a bit higher than one would expect here, and even if the roles were reversed one would expect the Cowboys to be a heavy favorite anyway. Vegas has been high on Dallas all season, while waiting for the bottom to drop out on the Giants. Maybe we’ve finally reached that point? If nothing else, injuries definitely seem to be catchup up with the G-Men.

Again, I look at the number and think it’s a bit too larger. Sure, the Cowboys won by 37 points last week against a team that’s probably better than the Giants, but I don’t see them stringing together two games in a row like that. I’ll roll with the Giants and the points.

New England at Minnesota (-2.5)

Folks who have been waiting all year for the Vikings to put together a stinker & reveal themselves as frauds were quite happy with Sunday’s result. The Vikings had no answers for the Cowboys on offense or defense. One would hope for a better effort on Thursday night against the Patriots, but we know all about the Kirk Cousins prime time narrative. Whether it’s his fault or not, and the statistics show that it usually hasn’t been Cousins’ fault, his teams haven’t gotten it done when the lights are on bright.

He’ll also be facing a defense that’s been absolutely on point lately. The Vikings’ defense has been a bit of a disaster lately, so I’m liking the Patriots to at least keep things close if not score the upset. That’s right, we’re rolling with three doggs on Thanksgiving! Gobble gobble!

Sunday, November 27

Houston at Miami (-13)

On one hand, that’s a lot of points. On the other hand, Tua & the Dolphins’ offense can put up some points and are coming off of a bye. The Texans look to be in good shape to get the #1 overall draft pick and a chance at a franchise quarterback, which is something they could definitely use. I see the Dolphins taking care of business here.

Baltimore (-4) at Jacksonville

It was a bit of a slog, but the Ravens were eventually able to dismiss the lowly Panthers. Lamar Jackson wasn’t looking quite like himself due to an illness, but the defense stepped up and kept Baker Mayfield from doing much of anything. The Jaguar offense isn’t a large step up from Carolina’s, and I see the Ravens holding them in check to get the victory in Jacksonville.

Tampa Bay (-3.5) at Cleveland

Oh look, the Bucs are starting to hit their stride in the second half of the season. We’ve never seen a Tom Brady-led team do that before, right? Seems downright impossible to believe. They head up to Cleveland this week to face a Browns team that’s trying not to fall off the map before Deshaun Watson comes in and becomes the franchise quarterback that Cleveland hasn’t had since Bernie Kosar. They’ve managed to keep things close in their recent defeats, and could really use a win here to start a late-season push.

I see the Buccaneers winning by a touchdown or so, probably in the last minutes of the game just to stick the knife into Cleveland fans a little bit more.

Chicago at NY Jets (-5.5)

After Justin Fields & Zach Wilson got all of the hype early this season, there’s actually a chance that the quarterbacks in this game could be Trevor Siemian & Mike White. Fields injured his shoulder last week while carrying the offense on his back against the Falcons, while Wilson was wildly ineffective against the Patriots and refused to take any of the blame for his team’s failures on offense. Wilson hasn’t lived up to the preseason hype since debuting in Week 4, and it seems like the Jets are strong enough at other positions to make the playoffs with any level of production at quarterback. The report as of press time is that Wilson will be benched this game.

This is one of those games that I don’t have a really good read on. Fields being healthy or not has a dramatic impact on the Bears offense against a really good Jets defense. The Bears defense isn’t any good, but who’s going to score on them in this game? It’s a pickle, but I’ll take the Jets to rebound from last week in a low-scoring affair.

Cincinnati (-1.5) at Tennessee

I’m pretty sure we’ve discussed this before. There’s no such thing as a “revenge game” for losing in last year’s playoffs during the regular season. The Titans who were part of the 2021 team that had the #1 seed in the AFC and had the best chance of any Titans team during the 21st century to go to the Super Bowl aren’t going to feel any better about their loss to tbe Bengals in the Divisional Round by defeating them in Week 12 of the 2022 regular season. These games are not equal in importance. Maybe, if the game was in Week 18 and could keep the Bengals from making the playoffs, that could be a “revenge game”. Not in Week 12.

The Bengals’ defense uncharacteristically struggled against the Steelers on Sunday, but Joe Burrow, Samaje Perine & company were effective enough on offense to get the team to 2-0 when wearing white helmets. They’ll be back in the orange helmets this week for their trip to Nashville, which I’d expect to be a fun place during Thanksgiving Weekend. I also expect this to be a tight game, and I still think people are sleeping on the Titans a bit. They looked good in Lambeau Field on Thursday night, and will be rested up & ready to go here.

Denver (-2.5) at Carolina

Sam Darnold is back! Will it matter for the Panthers? Probably not in the long run. It’s tough to tell much difference between the Panthers quarterbacked by Darnold, Baker Mayfield, P.J. Walker, Todd Bergman or Jeremy Lambert. You get the same result either way. Fortunately, D’Onta Foreman has kept the Panther running game going and the defense has been pretty effective. That’s enough for me to pick the Panthers against a Broncos team that reaches new lows with each week.

Atlanta at Washington (-4)

Both the Falcons & Commanders have found most of their success on offense running the ball, so expect a ton of that in this game. I think it’ll come down to which team does better at defending the run, and so far this season it’s been the Commanders. The Falcons have been weak overall on defense, which leads me to believe that Taylor Henicke & the Commanders will defend serve at home.

Las Vegas at Seattle (-3.5)

The Raiders got a cute little overtime win against the Broncos last week, but should return to Earth this week. The Seahawks are a big step up in offense from what they saw last week, and their passing defense should get the job done against Derek Carr. I see the Seahawks continuing their push to the playoffs with a big win here.

LA Chargers (-4) at Arizona

Both teams came up short last week in prime time against division rivals. The Chargers’ effort against the Chiefs was far superior to the Cardinals against the 49ers, but the end result was the same. Except I don’t think any of the Chargers’ coaches got fired for groping women. LA needs a win here to stay in playoff contention, and I like their chances of doing it with Justin Herbert doing his thing with some comptent wide receivers. Take the Chargers as the road favorites, it’s not like the Cardinals win very often in Glendale anyway.

New Orleans at San Francisco (-9.5)

The 49ers have been on an absolute roll since integrating Christian McCaffrey into the offense. They now have the look of a team that should contend to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. The Saints do not have that sort of a look about them, even if they took care of last year’s Super Bowl Champions last week. Ride with the 49ers here.

LA Rams at Kansas City (-14.5)

Here’s the thing: The Rams have been on quite the losing streak, but they’re keeping things close in these games. The issue is that they haven’t been playing teams anywhere near the Chiefs’ level. The last time they did, the 49ers blew them out by 17 points. And that was before they lost Cooper Kupp and cut the running back that they insisted was the best back they had and used to try & drive Cam Akers out of town. Lots of problems in LA when you don’t have Andrew Whitworth’s leadership on offense or Von Miller holding things down on defense, and when you have Matthew Stafford spending ton of time in concussion protocol.

I trust the Chiefs to score a ton of points. The Rams, not so much.

Green Bay at Philadelphia (-7)

To say things aren’t going well for the Packers in 2022 would be an understatement. They followed up a big comeback win over the Cowboys with a listless effort against the Titans on Thursday night. The bright side of that is they’ve had plenty of time to think on things and get healthy before going to Philadelphia & playing the top team in the NFC. A win here could change the narrative for Aaron Rodgers & company.

I don’t see the Packers winning, but I can see them keeping things close against an Eagles team that hasn’t been looking unbeatable lately. Packers & points seems the way to go here.

Monday, November 28

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (-2.5)

Even though the Steelers came up short against the Bengals, they still look much improved from their efforts early on in the season. As I’ve said previously, I expect Pittsburgh to be a much stronger team in the years ahead, and they’ll be back in playoff contention sooner rather than later. Not a fan of it myself, but that’s what’s going to happen. The Colts have also looked better lately, as the coaching change seems to have brought life into a team that really isn’t that bad. I have higher hopes for this game than the Tweeter does.

This should be a tight game, but I think the Steelers‘ defense will have a better showing this week against Matt Ryan than they did against Joe Burrow. Tell you what though, Jeff Saturday fans would certainly have reasons to beat their chest if their boy can get a win over Mike Tomlin.

Week 11 Results: 7-6-1
Overall Results: 78-82-5


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Down The Wire: No Cap Recap NFL Conference Championship

Tom and Dave are back, with no cap, to give you their thoughts on an exciting NFL Championship Sunday!

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Tom and Dave are back, with no cap, to give you their thoughts on an exciting NFL Championship Sunday!

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Cook’s 2022 NFL Gambling Picks: Championship Weekend

This Sunday, two teams will advance to the NFL Super Bowl! Who will they be? Steve Cook brings his 6-2 playoff record to Championship Weekend!

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Patrick Mahomes NFL Championship Weekend

This Sunday, two teams will advance to the NFL Super Bowl! Who will they be? Steve Cook brings his 6-2 playoff record to Championship Weekend!

Hi, hello & welcome to Championship Weekend! I’m Steve Cook, and I hate to say it, but last week’s Divisional Round didn’t live up to the billing. The Chiefs only beat the Jags by seven, but it never really felt all that close, and was likely only that close due to Patrick Mahomes getting injured early in the contest. The Eagles blew out the Giants in a snoozefest. The Bengals blew out the Bills in another surprising snoozefest. Then the 49ers & Cowboys messed around and somebody had to win.

Is Championship Sunday going to live up to the hype?

Sunday, January 29

San Francisco vs. Philadelphia (-2.5)

There was a point in this season where some of us wondered if the Philadelphia Eagles were going to lose a game. I always figured they would, because going undefeated is a long row to hoe, but some folks out there thought the Eagles could get it done. They didn’t. Nothing wrong with that, but then the Eagles looked quite pedestrian during the last month of the regular season, largely due to Jalen Hurts getting hurt and missing some games. Even though Micah Parsons and other top NFL experts tried to tell us that Jalen Hurts was a system quarterback, Hurts going out was a serious detriment to the Eagles. That missed stretch of games became his best argument for 2022 MVP. He looked healthy against the Giants, and the Eagles looked like the Eagles we saw early in the season.

The 49ers road was slightly more bumpy. They stumbled out of the gate, losing their first game to the hapless Bears & were 4-4 heading into their Week 9 bye. They went through Trey Lance & Jimmy Garopplo at quarterback, both got hurt and they ended up with Brock Purdy starting. During this process, they finangled a trade with Carolina for Christian McCaffrey, which added a whole new dynamic to their offense. They haven’t lost a game since October 23, and have rarely looked vulnerable.

It’s going to be a close one, so I have to side with the underdog. Roll with those 49ers.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City (-1)

I haven’t seen line movement like this on a big time game since I started doing this column. It seems pretty strange on the surface, but when you think about it for a minute it all makes sense. See, this game’s result hinges on the status & performance of one player. Sure, the Bengals have a number of solid players. Guys like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Joe Mixon, Logan Wilson, they’re all halfway decent. The Chiefs have a good amount of weapons on offense & defense. But there’s only one player in this game that really matters.

Patrick Lavon Mahomes II.

I’m not telling you anything you don’t already know. You already know that Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL. Some might say that Mahomes is merely the best current quarterback in the league, but we all know that he’s the greatest of all time. Tom Brady? Pfft, he could never do half of what Mahomes does on a field. Peyton Manning? Get outta here with that stuff. Joe Montana? Are you serious, bro? Mahomes has only spent six seasons on an NFL roster, and he’s already surpassed them all. The question is just how high this guy’s gonna set the bar for everybody else that follows.

OK, I know that the Bengals have somehow won three straight games against the Chiefs. We have a word that describes each of those games. It’s the same word that my fellow media members used to describe the team making it to last year’s Super Bowl. In fact, it’s the same word they used to describe the Bengals somehow defeating the greatest team in the history of football last week. Seriously, how are the Buffalo Bills not in this game? I can only assume they’re playing the winner of this in the Super Bowl.

Indeed, the Bengals are a fluke. That’s what the media has been telling me for over a year now, and I know the media would never lie to me. They have no business being in this game, and there’s no doubt that everybody reading this should throw their money on the Chiefs. The games aren’t usually this easy to predict this late in the season.

NFL Playoffs Record: 6-2


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