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Cook’s 2022 NFL Gambling Picks: Super Wild Card Weekend

It’s Super Wildcard Weekend, with six NFL games on top for the first round of the playoffs! Who will advance? Steve Cook has your picks!



Dak Prescott Tom Brady NFL Super Wildcard Weekend

It’s Super Wildcard Weekend, with six NFL games on top for the first round of the playoffs! Who will advance? Steve Cook has your picks!

Hi, hello and welcome to Super Wild Card Weekend! I’m not sure when Wild Card Weekend became Super, but we’re all here for it. Interesting thing about this season’s selection of first round matchups: We’ve seen all of them before! That may lead some to believe this weekend will be very predictable. If we know one thing about the NFL, it’s that just when you think you know the answers, Roger Goodell changes the questions!

It wasn’t a great year of picks for your humble correspondent. Pretty soon I’ll be right alongside the likes of Sean Payton & Jim Caldwell interviewing for new jobs. Before I can do that, we’ve got some playoff games to try & pick. The odds listed in this column are current as of Thursday morning, and I can promise that most of them will be different by the time you read this.

Saturday, January 14

Seattle at San Francisco (-9.5)

It’s been great to see Geno Smith revive his career and lead the Seahawks to more success than anybody expected this year. Remember when everybody thought the Broncos won the Russell Wilson trade? Now the Seahawks have a top five draft pick thanks to Denver’s futility through the 2022 season. It’s a good time. I don’t think this weekend will provide much in the way of good times for the Seahawks. It was a fun run, but the 49ers have been on fire for months now. They might not have gotten the 1 seed, but I expect them to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl when all is said and done. Even with good ol’ Brock Purdy.

LA Chargers (-2) at Jacksonville

Based off of these lines, Vegas is also expecting this to be the game of the weekend. Two young quarterbacks with two young teams full of talent. Both teams are hot as can be. We expected the Chargers to be here. The Jags? Not so much. They’ve pulled a 180 over the past year, getting rid of all the bad vibes and welcoming in some new ones. Last year’s AFC Championship team featured a traditionally moribund franchise with a second-year QB that had been drafted first overall. Can the Jaguars follow in those footsteps?

I won’t lie, I’m rooting for the Jags. It’s a great story and we all know that Tony Khan is my main man. Unfortunately, I think Justin Herbert has one of those breakout games on a big stage, and the Chargers pull out the victory. The Jags blew them out back in Week 3, which is just enough motivation to lead to a different result.

Sunday, January 15

Miami at Buffalo (-13)

Here’s the thing. The Dolphins aren’t going to win this game. They weren’t going to win this game if Tua Tagovailoa was playing, or if Teddy Bridgewater was playing, or if anybody else that’s ever played quarterback for the Miami Dolphins was playing. With that being said…we’re talking about a team that lost to the Bills by three points just under a month ago. A team that beat the Bills earlier in the season. I think Vegas & the bettors are over-reacting to the Tua news, leading to a spread that the Dolphins should be able to cover.

I think people will realize this later in the week, and the number will get a bit lower. So grab the Dolphins while it’s still a touch outrageous. The Bills haven’t blown out anybody other than the lowly Bears since early October. They win, but they don’t utterly dominate.

NY Giants at Minnesota (-3)

Vikings fans gotta be feeling a bit nervous here. We’ve been higher than most on the Vikes all season, but the lows this team has shown have been lower than every other team in the playoffs. They can either kick some ass or get their doors blown off. Neither would be surprising at this point. The Giants have arrived here earlier than anybody expected, and have been a fun story. Brian Daboll seems to be working out as head coach, and Daniel Jones is finally showing something at the quarterback position.

I’d like to pick the Vikings this week since I’ve been riding with them most of the season. Unfortunately, the NFL did Minnesota dirty and didn’t schedule them at 1 PM on Sunday. We all know that’s when Kirk Cousins is at his best. 4:30? Not so much. We’ll go with those road dogg Giants to have a big game against a Vikings defense that can be taken advantage of.

Baltimore at Cincinnati (-8.5)

After I finished last week’s column where I called Ravens fans out for whining about their team not being able to win the AFC North due to the fallout from Week 17, Roger Goodell & the NFL brass tried to hand the Ravens everything on a silver platter. If the Ravens had managed to beat the Bengals in Week 18, and if things ended up with the Bengals & Ravens facing off in the Wild Card round, there would have been a coin flip determining homefield. Most likely with Goodell & Ravens owner Steve Biscotti in a closed room. Heads, the Ravens would have won. Tails, the Bengals would have lost.

Katie Blackburn tried to do the right thing and sit the process out due to her obvious bias. If she thought that the other owners would credit her for that, she was mistaken. I could be wrong, but from what I’ve observed over the past three decades, Bengals ownership was often a pain in the other NFL owners’ ass. Mike Brown was usually that one no vote against whatever rule they wanted passed. This generation of Bengal ownership seems more reasonable than Mike Brown, and more wise as to which players to sign, but we’ve learned over the past couple of weeks that the Bengals ownership has absolutely no stroke with their fellow owners. Had the Dallas Cowboys been hosting that Monday night game and somebody on the road team suffered cardiac arrest, the NFL would have probably given the Cowboys a bye to the NFC Championship Game. Since it was the Bengals, the NFL tried to find any way they could to punish them, even if that UC Level 1 Trauma Center helped save Damar Hamlin’s life. The unmitigated gall! How dare they!

The Bengals had enough fuel from all of that to win in Week 18 and get at least one home game. There are reasons for Bengals fans to pause with the optimism heading into the playoffs. The offense hasn’t run smoothly on a regular basis for several weeks now. The offensive line is looking at trouble with Alex Cappa getting hurt just before the playoffs & La’El Collins already out for the foreseeable future. Lamar Jackson just might be ready to play. There might be rust involved there, but rusty Lamar Jackson is still more dangerous than anything else the Ravens could throw out at quarterback.

Even if the Bengals end up moving on to the divisional round, I don’t see them laying waste to the Ravens like people are expecting. If Lamar is officially declared out, expect this line to climb even higher.

Monday, January 16

Dallas (-2.5) at Tampa Bay

You’re giving me Tom Brady as a home dogg against a team he always beats, and a team that always chokes at this time of year? Easy money. Buccaneers all night long.

Week 18 Results: 6-10
2022 Regular Season Results: 122-143-8

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Down The Wire: No Cap Recap Super Bowl Edition

The Wortz brothers are back one last time this season to review Super Bowl LVII!



The Wortz brothers are back one last time this season to review Super Bowl LVII!

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Cook’s 2022 NFL Gambling Picks: Super Bowl LVII

It’s the Super Bowl, and the world will be watching! See who your resident Chairshot handicapper Steve Cook thinks will win the NFL’s championship!



Super Bowl 2023

It’s the Super Bowl, and the world will be watching! See who your resident Chairshot handicapper Steve Cook thinks will win the NFL’s championship game between the Eagles and the Chiefs.

Hi, hello & welcome to Super Bowl LVII! I’m Steve Cook, and I’m not going to lie to you good & honest Chairshot readers. I have absolutely no interest in writing this column or watching this game. None whatsoever. Those of you that root for NFL teams that have come up short in conference championship games know exactly what I’m talking about. Granted, getting to that position certainly beats a decade of three-win seasons, three decades of not being able to win a single playoff game & most of the states that NFL franchises currently find themselves in, but there is absolutely no fun to be had in a Super Bowl that you think your team should be in.

Our Cincinnati Bengals had a few too many obstacles in front of them. They had to deal with the best quarterback in the league, who allegedly had a high ankle sprain but seemed to be throwing the ball and moving around pretty well. The Bengals quarterback didn’t have his best game, and their offensive line had a little too much to deal with while the Chiefs’ offensive line seemed unbothered. There was all the trash being talked by some of the Bengal players, which while horribly overplayed by the media certainly got under the Chiefs’ skin. Then there were the officials giving the Chiefs extra downs whenever they needed them and popping up with some kind of bogus call whenever the Bengals made a big play.

So the Bengals season is over. Which is fine. Now I have to hear about how it’s such a wonderful story that the Kansas City Chiefs managed to somehow get back to the Super Bowl. I have to hear about Andy Reid, & Patrick Mahomes, & Jackson Mahomes, & how loud it gets in Kansas City, and that goofball from the University of Convicts, Travis Kelce. Oh don’t get me started…ok, I’ll get started.

Did you know that Travis & Jason Kelce are the first brothers to oppose each other in the Super Bowl? I might have heard that a time or thousand over the past couple of weeks. It’s not accurate. See, Travis is a tight end for the Chiefs, while Jason plays center for the Eagles. They will not be taking the field against each other. Had the Cardinals & Steelers played in this game, and J.J. Watt played linebacker for the Cardinals while Derek Watt was in at fullback for the Steelers, they would have opposed each other in the Super Bowl. That would have been interesting. This isn’t. Let me know if Travis goes in at linebacker, or Jason lines up at defensive end, because that would be interesting. Here, they’ll just stare across the field at each other like a couple of octogenarian politicians.

Chiefs vs. Eagles. I mean, the whole “two Black quarterbacks” thing is pretty cool, and it’s shocking yet not all that shocking that it took so long. Beyond that, I’ve got nothing. I’m still going to be stuck watching this thing, so how does one get excited for the actual game itself?

Prop bets?

Yep, we got prop bets coming out the yin yang for the biggest sports gambling day of the year. You can bet on almost anything going on in this game, though I wouldn’t recommend it unless you have some inside knowledge. How long will the National Anthem take? Bet on it if you know how fast Chris Stapleton sings things. I don’t listen to current hip-hop, so I’m not familiar with his work. Let’s take a look at some of the best and/or most popular…

What will the coin toss land on?

  • Heads: -105
  • Tails: -105

One of the dumbest things to bet on out there, but still one of the most popular. Heads has won four out of the last five Super Bowls. Personally, I always chose Heads on Madden 2002 back in the day, so that would be my pick.

Super Bowl MVP:

  • Patrick Mahomes: +130
  • Jalen Hurts: +140
  • Travis Kelce: +1100
  • AJ Brown: +1400
  • Miles Sanders: +2500
  • Devonta Smith: +3000
  • Haason Reddick: +3000

There’s a long list of other options on BetMGM, but I feel like I’ve already listed too many. A quarterback has won this award thirty-one times. Mahomes is going for his second, and with his “story” going in it’d be an easy call to make if the Chiefs end up winning. Now, we’ve seen a wide receiver win it two out of the last four seasons, this opens the door for the likes of an AJ Brown to slip through. Interesting thing about Kelce: No tight end has ever won Super Bowl MVP. Considering how much media has gassed him up this week with the “brothers” storyline, he’s an interesting choice at +1100. I still think the quarterbacks are the obvious bets, especially if you’re getting them at plus odds. I could see this changing before Sunday.

Color of Gatorade Bath:

  • Orange: +325
  • Yellow/Green: +175
  • Clear/Water: +750
  • Blue: +400
  • Red/Pink: +500
  • Purple: +900
  • No Gatorade Poured: +1400

I’m a Lemon-Lime guy myself, so I would be hoping for some yellow Gatorade on the sideline if I was involved. I am not, so it would behoove those wanting to bet on this to figure out which Gatorade players of both teams prefer. Blue has had a strong run, winning three out of the last four years. It seems relevant to point out that the Chiefs doused Andy Reid with Orange back in 2020. Some have speculated that Reid may opt out of the Gatorade bath now since he’s old…I don’t think he’s quite that grouchy yet, but it’s something to keep in mind.

I’d go Blue or Orange depending on who you think will win.

Sunday, February 12

Kansas City vs. Philadelphia (-1.5)

We’ve already said a lot about the Kansas City Chiefs. While I have my reservations over how they conduct themselves as an organization and over how they got to this particular game, I’m still a bit surprised to see them as an underdog. They’ve been here before, multiple times in recent years. Their recent postseason success would look even more impressive if it’d taken place before Tom Brady and/or the Patriots shifted the paradigm. Five straight AFC Championship Game appearances, three out of four Super Bowl appearances. They’ve dominated the AFC in recent years, and with Pat Mahomes locked up they’ll probably dominate the AFC in future years.

So why are they the underdogs?

While the Chiefs had difficulty dispatching the Jaguars & Bengals in their AFC playoff games, the Eagles ran through their NFC opponents like a hot knife through butter. They had no issue defeating the Giants, then stomped out the hopes & dreams of the quarterback-less 49ers. There’s a knock against the Eagles, which is the idea that they’ve had a relatively easy schedule. It kind of falls apart when you remember they played the Cowboys & Giants twice in the regular season, along with two other playoff teams in the Vikings & Jaguars early in the season. The Packers & Titans are usually playoff teams and both teams nearly made it again. These Eagles have taken care of business so far, and they could very well do it again.

I don’t think they do. Patrick Mahomes may not have had that blow-away Super Bowl performance yet, but it’s coming. If you’re giving me the Chiefs as an underdog, I’m gonna take it.

Thanks for reading, and enjoy Super Bowl LVII!

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