Cook’s AEW Revolution 2021 Gambling Picks

Time to gamble on wrestling! Steve Cook is here with your AEW Resolution gambling picks–for entertainment purposes only of course!

All Elite Wrestling is presenting Revolution this Sunday. Sunday Sunday Sunday. Gotta keep that in mind since they usually run on Saturdays. They didn’t this time because of various boxing & UFC events, but ended up booking themselves against the NBA All-Star Game. No, I don’t know why the NBA is bothering with an All-Star Game either, but they are!

I liked AEW doing their PPVs on Saturday, as that’s a better night for most of their viewers for an exceptionally long wrestling show. This card’s pretty stacked, with an 8PM Eastern start time I can see it stretching past midnight. Which is a lot better for most people on a Saturday night. (Doesn’t affect me, my work schedule changes every week with no rhyme or reason and I never have a Sunday off. It’s a wonderful life!)

I went to BetOnline to find some odds on these matches and had mixed success. Granted, some of these matches were just booked, and others have moving parts. I’m doing the best I can here, people, I’m only one man! As usual, lines are subject to change, and this column is purely for entertainment purposes.

Buy In Match
Thunder Rosa & Riho vs. Dr. Britt Baker D.M.D. & Reba

Wow you’re really going to make bruised and battered Reba get in there with a former champ and a deranged dumb ass? The #CONSPIRACY lives on. @AEW @TonyKhan @KennyOmegamanX pic.twitter.com/629AAeSEvu

— Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D. (@RealBrittBaker) March 4, 2021

Kind of an unfair match here from a kayfabe perspective, as Reba is not officially a wrestler and has also been beat up a bit lately. Unless Dr. Baker is allowed to find another partner, you have to give Thunder Rosa & Riho the advantage here.

The one thing that could go against them: Is Thunder finishing up now that the NWA is re-starting? If she is, I could see her eating one more pin from Dr. Baker. Nah, either way it’ll probably be Riho getting the win.

Casino Tag Team Royale
Bear Country vs. Alex Reynolds & John Silver vs. Evil Uno & Stu Grayson vs. Santana & Ortiz vs. The Butcher & The Blade vs. Private Party vs. Top Flight vs. Pac & Rey Fenix vs. Varsity Blondes vs. Matt & Mike Sydal vs. SCU vs. Natural Nightmares vs. Chaos Project vs. Gunn Club vs. Dark Order’s 5 & 10 vs. Possibly More

It has all broken down ahead of #AEWRevolution!

REMINDER: The Countdown to #AEWRevolution begins immediately following Dynamite pic.twitter.com/JNpRIn91FV

— All Elite Wrestling (@AEW) March 4, 2021

The winners here get a Tag Team Championship match at some later date. Considering we just had a gigantic tag team battle royal to get Chris Jericho & MJF a title shot at this show, deciding the next contenders through a Casino Tag Team Royale seems a bit repetitive to me. But it’s a nice way to promote their new casino app game, so there’s that.

Picking a winner in this thing is pretty much like picking one number on a roulette wheel. There are a few teams you can write off pretty much right away, but that still leaves a bunch of possible picks. I think Pac & Rey Fenix could be a pretty fun team to get a title shot, so that’s who I’d go with here. Not going to complain if they go with one of the Dark Order teams instead, or use this to get SCU their big title shot to continue the Christopher Daniels angle that I think is still on-going. I think I’d go with Daniels & Kazarian if there were odds on this thing, simply because it’s the easiest way to tell that story.

AEW Women’s Championship Match
Hikaru Shida vs. Ryo Mizunami

#AEWWomensTournament I won 🏆
Thank you so much for your support 😊✨

I was at the mercy of Nayirah's non-standard power, but everyone's cheers and feelings of not giving up led me to the victory! ️

The party isn't over yet 🔥#AEW #AEWDynamite pic.twitter.com/sWHuPPlwII

— 水波綾 (Ryo Mizunami) (@mizunami0324) March 4, 2021

I have to figure that Shida would be the huge favorite whenever odds get posted for this, and she’s going to win so it’s not going to be worth betting on. No disrespect meant to Ms. Mizunami, who is a solid in-ring competitor, but I don’t see her being the one to take the title off of Hikaru Shida.

Now, if somebody reports in the next couple of days that Ryo is staying here for the next six months, my opinion on this might change. Otherwise, it’s Shida all day.

Face of the Revolution Ladder Match
Cody Rhodes vs. Scorpio Sky vs. Penta El Zero Miedo vs. Lance Archer vs. Max Caster vs. TBA

.@CasterShow has now entered The Face of the Revolution ladder match, with still one spot to be filled which will be announced by @TonyKhan.

REMINDER: The Countdown to #AEWRevolution begins immediately following Dynamite pic.twitter.com/W2cTsn0cjV

— All Elite Wrestling (@AEW) March 4, 2021

I haven’t seen odds posted on BetOnline, but apparently some books are offering this so you can bet on Cody Rhodes or “The Field”. If that’s the case, you have to take “The Field”, don’t you? Especially when there’s a mystery guy! The winner gets a shot at the TNT Championship, and Cody can always find another way to get a title shot.

If you can’t pick “The Field” and each wrestler is an option, I’d look at Scorpio Sky as a solid choice that should get a favorable price for your wallet. He hasn’t wrestled in a couple of months due to injury, but he’s been doing a podcast and was acting pretty darn heelish on commentary this week. He’s targeted the TNT Championship in the past, and he’d probably have a pretty darn good match with Darby Allin. Of course, there’s always the mystery guy too, who they might want to have go over on his debut. I’ll stick with Sky as the best way to make money if you can’t take “The Field”.

Of course, all of this can be voided out if Cody just wants a new nickname.

Best Friends (-160) vs. Miro & Kip Sabian (+120)

"Will you wrestle us at Revolution? Y N Maybe, circle one xo " – @SexyChuckieT & @OrangeCassidy to @ToBeMiro & @TheKipSabian

WATCH #AEWDynamite NOW on @TNTDrama pic.twitter.com/0fZUswOwJr

— All Elite Wrestling (@AEW) February 25, 2021

Trent’s out of the picture, so Chuck Taylor & Orange Cassidy are the Best Friends in question here. Easy to see why Orange would be a betting favorite here, as he’s one of the most popular people in AEW and has a pretty good win-loss record. I think things go a different way here, as Miro looks ready to step up & become the monster people think he should be, and Kip Sabian deserves some revenge for Charles & Orange ruining his wedding. Go with Miro & Kip Sabian here.

Big Money Match
Adam Page (-350) vs. Matt Hardy (+225)

Adam Page should be sued for slander! This is BS, @tde_gif! pic.twitter.com/dg4qejWNF1

— MATT HARDY (@MATTHARDYBRAND) March 4, 2021

Having Hangman lose to Matt Hardy doesn’t make a ton of sense here in 2021. I can make an argument for Matt winning because his spending Hangman’s money could be pretty amusing, and Hangman being sad over losing his money would be a pretty typical state of affairs. There’s also the matter of all these people Matt has helping him these days.

Maybe throw a few bucks on Matt Hardy if you’re feeling froggy, could pay off for you. Personally, I’d rather see Dark Order spending all of Matt’s money on BTE. They could finally get a new table for their lair!

Street Fight
Darby Allin & Sting (-450) vs. Brian Cage & Ricky Starks (+275)

THE STINGER SPLASH!!!!!! @Sting #AEWDynamite pic.twitter.com/SZ0r1ygeOC

— All Elite Wrestling on TNT (@AEWonTNT) February 25, 2021

I’d like to be able to make an argument in favor of Team Taz here, but there’s really not one to be made. Sting should win every first match he has in a promotion, and he & Darby will come out on top in what will apparently be a cinematic masterpiece. Hopefully AEW does a better job on this one than the Tooth & Nail match!

AEW World Tag Team Championship
The Young Bucks (-250) vs. Chris Jericho & MJF (+170)

So sick of these two pumpkin patch kids running around acting like badasses.

This Sunday we’re taking them OUT.

New Tag Champs!

— Maxwell Jacob Friedman™️ (@The_MJF) March 4, 2021

Tony Khan said this will be the opening match, and it should be a doozy with a good amount of emotion behind it. What Jericho & MJF may lack in flashiness & in-ring appeal, they make up for with personality, cleverness & chicanery. If this was a WWE show, I’d pick them without a problem, as Jericho had a pretty crazy amount of random partners he won championships with. Here in AEW, I think the Young Bucks are going to wait to lose to an actual tag team before dropping the belts. We’ve got an eventual Bucks/Good Brothers match pitting company champions against each other to build to, I assume.

How Jericho & MJF lose the match will be the story going forward for them. Miscommunication? Involvement from somebody else? One of them just gets beat? Time will tell.

AEW World Championship Exploding Barbed Wire Death Match
Kenny Omega (-550) vs. Jon Moxley (+325)

Are you ready for this Sunday, March 7th at #AEWRevolution?
Step inside the exploding barbed wire deathmatch
Watch #AEWDynamite NOW on @TNTDrama

Reminder: Countdown to #AEWRevolution begins immediately after Dynamite. pic.twitter.com/pmy8Y7KG5v

— All Elite Wrestling (@AEW) March 4, 2021

You would think that Moxley would get more love from the bettors, as something like an Exploding Barbed Wire Death Match seems more his speed than Omega’s. That just goes to show how little people believe that Kenny Omega can lose the championship at this time. He just seems destined for one of those never-ending reigns, doesn’t he? I have to agree with the public on this one, as I don’t see Kenny Omega losing this match.

I do see Kenny Omega getting his ass kicked pretty bad during this match. He’s not losing the title though.