Chairshot NFL: Week 5 Preview, Greg’s New Power Rankings

Andrew Balaz is joined by Greg DeMarco (filling in for PC!) for Week 5 picks, NFL power rankings, weekly standouts, and a breakdown of Greg’s data-driven model.

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Greg DeMarco fills in for PC Tunny and joins Andrew Balaz for this week’s Chairshot NFL, covering Week 4 fallout, the latest power rankings, and a full slate of Week 5 picks.

The episode opens with Weapons of the Week, highlighting standout performances from the Atlanta Falcons offensive line, Chuba Hubbard, Tetairoa McMillan, Arvell Reese, Deontay Banks, and Ernest Jones IV.

From there, Greg and Andrew compare their NFL power rankings, with the biggest disagreements coming near the top. Jacksonville, Minnesota, Buffalo, Chicago, Baltimore, Seattle, Kansas City, and San Francisco all spark debate as the hosts weigh records, schedule strength, recent performance, and overall team quality.

Greg also breaks down the model behind his new data-driven NFL Power Rankings, built around four factors: win percentage, capped point differential, adjusted strength of schedule, and points per 100 yards. He explains why he prefers grouping teams into natural tiers instead of forcing movement every week.

The show closes with Week 5 picks, including several consensus selections and a handful of disagreement spots. Browns-Jets, Texans-Titans, Raiders-Patriots, Vikings-Saints, and Bills-Rams all get extra attention as Greg and Andrew identify their strongest plays of the week.

With bye weeks beginning and schedules getting tougher, the rankings should become even more revealing from here.

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